Indicators

Nonstop news, surging amounts of data... Too much information is as unhelpful as it is useless. W&P separates the noteworthy from the noisy. Sometimes very compactly. For example, we developed a set of telling economic indicators to illuminate some dynamics that shape the economy. We present two of them here.


W&P GDP Growth Stat for China

W&P GDP Growth Stat for China
Source: Refinitiv, Wellershoff & Partners

Recovery confirmed

Zurich, January 14, 2020

According to the W&P GDP Growth Stat for China the Chinese economy grew by 5.2 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2019. Our estimate is based on bottom-up, sector-specific data.
 
W&P first presented its own proprietary GDP statistics for China in April 2016. Based on our latest calculations of long-term economic growth in 50 countries, we have further developed our statistics.
 
Two conclusions can be drawn from the detailed data that serve as the basis for our alternative GDP statistics. First, it has been confirmed that China's industry has bottomed out. The government countered the negative consequences of the trade conflict with stimulus measures and tax breaks. Now that the trade conflict appears to have calmed down for the time being, the signals look even more promising. Second, however, the construction sector is weakening. The lack of stimulus in this sector reflects Beijing's fear of a further increase in debt. With that, the government is implicitly showing its willingness to accept lower growth rates in favor of more sustainable growth.

Please contact us for monthly updates on the W&P GDP Growth Stat for China and further research and insights based on it. 

Contact

Dr. Adriel Jost
+41 44 256 10 32
adriel.jost@wellershoff.ch


W&P Economic Indicators

W&P Economic Indicators
Source: European Commission, Thomson Reuters Datastream, Wellershoff & Partners

The W&P Economic Indicators : a safe bet

Which regions currently affect global economic sentiment the most? How confident are French consumers and where does the Mexican export sector stand? Investigating sentiments is one of the most important branches of modern cyclic analysis. Be it the export, construction or industrial sector, we always have an informative indicator at the ready.

Our offering extends over a whole range of leading indicators including more than 30 economies and regions. We are pleased to offer you access to our economic indicators or compute tailor-made indicators, for example, according to the relative importance of your own sales markets.

Contact

Dr. Adriel Jost
+41 44 256 10 32
adriel.jost@wellershoff.ch