Indicators

Nonstop news, surging amounts of data... Too much information is as unhelpful as it is useless. W&P separates the noteworthy from the noisy. Sometimes very compactly. For example, we developed a set of telling economic indicators to illuminate some dynamics that shape the economy. We present two of them here.


W&P GDP Growth Stat for China

W&P GDP Growth Stat for China
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream, Wellershoff & Partners

Turnaround in the Chinese economy?

Zurich, April 17, 2019

According to the W&P GDP Growth Stat for China, which is based on bottom-up, sector-specific data, the Chinese economy grew by 6.3 percent YoY in the first quarter of 2019. Official figures of 6.4 percent lie only insignificantly higher than our own estimate.

The data on which our estimate is based provided contradictory information about the state of the Chinese economy, not least due to the traditionally very volatile January and February data. In summary, however, there are more and more signs that the stimulus measures taken by the Chinese authorities are beginning to boost growth. Still, in order to be able to speak of a turnaround in the recent disappointing economic trend in China, this positive momentum has be confirmed in the coming months.

Doubts about the reliability of the official GDP statistics among investors and other China-watchers are widespread and have increased in recent years. In response, the W&P GDP Growth Stat for China offers an alternative statistical indicator to capture China’s GDP performance. Please contact us for monthly updates on the W&P GDP Growth Stat for China and further research and insights based on it. Details and background information are to be found in the Critical Perspectives attached below.

Contact

Dr. Adriel Jost
+41 44 256 10 32
adriel.jost@wellershoff.ch


W&P Economic Indicators

W&P Economic Indicators
Source: European Commission, Thomson Reuters Datastream, Wellershoff & Partners

The W&P Economic Indicators : a safe bet

Which regions currently affect global economic sentiment the most? How confident are French consumers and where does the Mexican export sector stand? Investigating sentiments is one of the most important branches of modern cyclic analysis. Be it the export, construction or industrial sector, we always have an informative indicator at the ready.

Our offering extends over a whole range of leading indicators including more than 30 economies and regions. We are pleased to offer you access to our economic indicators or compute tailor-made indicators, for example, according to the relative importance of your own sales markets.

Contact

Dr. Adriel Jost
+41 44 256 10 32
adriel.jost@wellershoff.ch